Outlook for engines September 1999

To complement ESG’s latest jet aircraft forecast (see Aviation Strategy, August 1999) here we summarise the associated jet engine delivery forecast.

The total value of the market is estimated at about $10bn this year, but this number excludes spares, which would probably add a further 15%.

ESG ENGINE DELIVERY FORECAST

**ESG ENGINE DELIVERY FORECAST**
	P&W	GE	Rolls	CFM	IAE	Allied	BMW	Allison	TOTAL
	P&W	GE	Royce	Int.	IAE	Signal	BMW	Allison	TOTAL
1998	245	415	174	838	224	80	-	120	2,096
1999	344	374	204	980	198	100	24	160	2,384
2000	228	310	148	930	204	60	60	160	2,100
2001	208	266	130	740	160	40	40	140	1,724
2002	230	234	160	622	140	40	40	100	1,566
2003	252	248	180	562	128	40	40	80	1,530
2004	272	244	196	594	124	40	60	60	1,590
Source: ESG, August 1999.

$m		ESG VALUE OF ENGINES DELIVERED FORECAST
$m	P&W	GE	Rolls	CFM	IAE	Allied	BMW	Allison	TOTAL
	P&W	GE	Royce	Int.	IAE	Signal	BMW	Allison	TOTAL
1998	1,602	2,134	1,112	2,985	833	116	-	211	8,992
1999	2,005	1,918	1,403	3,587	740	146	70	284	10,154
2000	1,371	1,500	1,057	3,487	774	89	177	287	8,743
2001	1,267	1,259	976	2,826	613	60	120	254	7,375
2002	1,253	1,196	1,104	2,391	548	60	121	184	6,859
2003	1,452	1,292	1,236	2,210	512	61	122	148	7,034
2004	1,565	1,374	1,336	2,360	505	62	185	113	7,499

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