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Parked aircraft analysis September 2004 Download PDF

Cloud Image

The global total for parked jets as at mid–year was nearly 2,400 according to our analysis of ACAS data. This represents about 15% of global supply.

However, we estimate only just over 700 of these aircraft are likely to be returned to commercial passenger service. The LCC phenomenon has mopped up many of the surplus narrowbodies.

There have been signs of a firming in lease rates especially for modern narrowbodies but overhanging the whole aircraft market is the threat of liquidation of one or more the US majors, which would result in a new influx of used aircraft.

PARKED AIRCRAFT ANALYSIS
PARKED AIRCRAFT ANALYSIS
  RETURNABLE TO PAX SERVICE         OBSOLETE FOR PAX SERVICE    
REGIONAL JETS                         Overall
  <5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years Total   <5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years Total total
Emb135/145 3 7       10 F28     3 45 24 72  
328JET 18 1 1     20                
CRJ 12 21 4     37                
146 3 12 51 2   68                
F100   10 90     100                
Total 36 51 146 2 0 235   0 0 3 45 24 72 307
NARROWBODIES                          
  <5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years Total   <5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years Total  
A320 family 19 27 14     60 737-1/200     13 157 55 225  
737-3/4/500   8 73     81 727       294 240 534  
737-7/800 5 1       6 707     1 3 62 66  
757 7 5 46 2   60 DC8         69 69  
717 3         3 DC9       66 148 214  
MD80   4 75     79 MD80       40   40  
MD90   11       11 BAC1-11     4 4 19 27  
Total 34 56 208 2 0 300 Total 0 0 18 564 593 1,175 1,475
WIDEBODIES                          
  <5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years Total   <5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years Total  
747-400 3 5 25     33 747-1/2/300     14 84 43 141  
767 5 2 38     45 747SP       14   14  
777 2 5       7 767       41   41  
A300-600     5     5 A300     4 36   40  
A310   2 45     47 A310       5   5  
A330 2 1       3 DC10     2 68 21 91  
A340 3 2 1     6 L1011     1 76 9 86  
MD11   7 28     35                
Total 15 24 142 0 0 181   0 0 21 324 73 418 599
TOTAL 85 131 496 4 0 716   0 0 42 933 690 1,665 2,381

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