Parked aircraft analysis Aug/Sep 2004

The global total for parked jets as at mid–year was nearly 2,400 according to our analysis of ACAS data. This represents about 15% of global supply.

However, we estimate only just over 700 of these aircraft are likely to be returned to commercial passenger service. The LCC phenomenon has mopped up many of the surplus narrowbodies.

There have been signs of a firming in lease rates especially for modern narrowbodies but overhanging the whole aircraft market is the threat of liquidation of one or more the US majors, which would result in a new influx of used aircraft.

PARKED AIRCRAFT ANALYSIS

**PARKED AIRCRAFT ANALYSIS**
	RETURNABLE TO PAX SERVICE								OBSOLETE FOR PAX SERVICE
REGIONAL JETS														Overall
	<5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years					Total		<5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years					Total	total
Emb135/145	3	7				10	F28			3	45	24	72
328JET	18	1	1			20
CRJ	12	21	4			37
146	3	12	51	2		68
F100		10	90			100
Total	36	51	146	2	0	235		0	0	3	45	24	72	307
NARROWBODIES
	<5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years					Total		<5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years					Total
A320 family	19	27	14			60	737-1/200			13	157	55	225
737-3/4/500		8	73			81	727				294	240	534
737-7/800	5	1				6	707			1	3	62	66
757	7	5	46	2		60	DC8					69	69
717	3					3	DC9				66	148	214
MD80		4	75			79	MD80				40		40
MD90		11				11	BAC1-11			4	4	19	27
Total	34	56	208	2	0	300	Total	0	0	18	564	593	1,175	1,475
WIDEBODIES
	<5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years					Total		<5 years 5-10 years 10-20 years 20-30 years > 30 years					Total
747-400	3	5	25			33	747-1/2/300			14	84	43	141
767	5	2	38			45	747SP				14		14
777	2	5				7	767				41		41
A300-600			5			5	A300			4	36		40
A310		2	45			47	A310				5		5
A330	2	1				3	DC10			2	68	21	91
A340	3	2	1			6	L1011			1	76	9	86
MD11		7	28			35
Total	15	24	142	0	0	181		0	0	21	324	73	418	599
TOTAL	85	131	496	4	0	716		0	0	42	933	690	1,665	2,381

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