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Boeing and Airbus orders 2015 Jan/Feb 2016 Download PDF

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Airbus beat Boeing in the annual PR race for orders in 2015. In the year it achieved announced net sales of 1,036 aircraft (after allowing for cancellations and conversions) down from 1,456 in 2014 compared with the Seattle-based manufacturer's 769 (half the previous year's 1,432). Total industry net orders are estimated to have totalled 2,193 in the year down from a peak of 3,698 in 2014.

Airbus gained from two particularly large orders in the narrowbody segment. Indigo, the indian LCC,  put in an order for 250 A320s and Wizz Air for another 110 of the type. Total A320 orders (neo and ceo) amounted to just short of 900 units. On top of this were net orders for 140 A330s, net cancellations of 3 A350s and a mere net two new A380 orders.

Boeing meanwhile received net new orders for 588 737s, 49 767Fs (from FedEx), 58 777s (including ten each from Qatar and United) and 71 787s.

On deliveries however, Boeing outshone Airbus with an overall production of 762 aircraft against 635. On narrowbodies the two were evenly matched delivering 495 737s and 491 A320s respectively (equivalent to around 40 aircraft a month each).

Overall, the outstanding industry backlog is estimated at nearly 14,700 aircraft to be delivered from 2016. This is up by 400 units from the end of 2014 and represents some nine years of current production.  The backlog schedule of deliveries suggest production levels of around 1,600 aircraft a year for the next four years.

In February the doyen of equipment forecasting, Ed Greenslet, published his Airline Monitor update of long term projections. Controversially, he has brought forward his expectation of the next industry downturn from 2021 to 2018, adding in an assumption that with low oil prices there will be a lower rate of retirement of older equipment, and that the combination of slower growth in China, collapse in commodity prices and US Dollar strength will have a material impact on demand.

As a result, his new forecasts suggest that 2015 will be the peak for aircraft deliveries in this cycle. Moreover he is suggesting that total deliveries over the next few years may be less than those suggested by the order backlog, implying that the manufacturers' plans to build production rates (particularly of the narrowbodies) may be mistaken.

Boeing Orders 2015
737
Carrier NG MAX 767 777 787 747 BBJ Total
Asia/Pacific Air Tahiti Nui 2 2
ANA 5 3 8
EVA Air 7 18 25
Korean Air 30 7 37
Qantas 5 5
Ruili Airlines 30 30
Silk Way Airlines 3 3
SilkAir 6 6
Sriwijaya Air 2 2
Virgin Australia 4 4
Asia/Pacific Total 7 70 14 28 3 122
Europe AirBridgeCargo 2 2
Enter Air 1 1
Jet2.com 30 30
Norwegian 19 19
Ryanair 3 3
Swiss Global Air Lines 3 3
TUI Travel 1 1
THY 10 10
Europe Total 33 11 3 20 2 69
Latin America Air Austral 2 2
COPA 51 51
GOL 9 9
Latin America Total 60 2 62
Middle East/Africa EL AL 3 3
Ethiopian 6 6
Etihad 2 2
Oman Air 20 20
Qatar 14 14
Middle East/Africa Total 20 16 9 45
North America Alaska 6 6
Atlas Air 1 1
Delta 20 20
FedEx 49 49
United 10 10
North America Total 26 49 10 1 86
Lessor AerCap 100 100
ALC 8 8
BOC Aviation 13 11 24
GECAS 2 2
SMBC Aviation Capital 10 10
Lessor Total 15 129 144
Business Jet / VIP Customers 2 2 2 1 7
Unidentified Customers 151 117 15 38 321
United States Navy 13 13
Gross Orders 247 409 49 58 99 6 1 869
Cancellations/Conversions (68) (28) (4) (100)
Net orders 588 49 58 71 2 1 769
Airbus Orders 2015
A320
Area Customer ceo neo A330 A350 A380 Total
Asia/Pacific Air New Zealand 2 2
AirAsia (9) 9
ANA 4 3 7
Asiana 25 25
Indigo 250 250
Korean Air 30 30
Lion Air (9) 9
Peach Aviation 3 3
Philippine Airlines (10) 12 2
SIA 4 4
Tigerair (2) 2
Vietjet Air 15 21 36
Asia/Pacific Total (6) 361 4 359
Europe Acropolis Aviation 1 1
Aer Lingus 2 2
Atlantic Airways 1 1
British Airways 15 15
Croatia Airlines (4) 4
easyJet 6 30 36
Groupe Dubreuil 1 1 2
Iberia 20 5 8 33
Lufthansa (1) 1
TAP 39 14 53
THY 20 4 24
Vueling 15 15
Wizz Air (10) 110 100
Europe Total (8) 255 26 9 282
Latin America Avianca 100 100
Latin America Total 100 100
Middle East/Africa Israir 1 1
Middle East Airlines 1 1
Rwandair 2 2
South African Airways 5 5
Middle East/Africa Total 1 8 9
North America Frontier Airlines 12 12
North America Total 12 12
Lessors ALC 3 30 26 1 60
ACG 1 1
Avolon 4 4
BOC 3 2 5
CALC 2 2
CASC 30 30
CIT 5 5
GECAS 60 60
IAC 30 20 50
Standard Chartered 2 2
Lessor Total 47 91 80 1 219
Private Customer 1 4 2 7
Undisclosed 13 50 27 2 3 95
Gross Orders 60 861 143 16 3 1,083
Cancellations (13) (11) (3) (19) (1) (47)
Net Orders 47 850 140 (3) 2 1,036
DELIVERIES 2015
Boeing Airbus
Type No. Rate† Type No. Rate†
737 495 41.25 A320 491 40.92
767 16 1.33
777 98 8.17 A330 103 8.58
787 135 11.25 A350 14 1.17
747 18 1.50 A380 27 2.25
Total 762 Total 635

† per month

AIRCRAFT DELIVERY CYCLE
gnuplot Produced by GNUPLOT 5.0 patchlevel 1 -3,000 A$m -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2014 2015 8.0 10.0 12.5 15.0 17.5 A$bn Year ended June Operating profits Net Profits Revenues HalfRevs Underlying EBIT Statutory Net Profits Revenues 6 mos end Dec
AIRCRAFT ORDER BACKLOG
gnuplot Produced by GNUPLOT 5.0 patchlevel 1 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2012 2013 2014 2015 2014 2015 Year ended June QF Domestic QF International QF Freight Jetstar QF Loyalty Group Group Group QF Domestic QF International QF Freight Jetstar QF Loyalty Group eliminations 6 months ended Dec A$m
AIRCRAFT BACKLOG DATED DELIVERIES
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